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A gripping tale of how even experts misread the role of chance - from the stock market to doctors' surgeries - Dance With Chance argues that we all fall foul of the The Illusion of Control, meaning that we underestimate the role of luck in our lives. The authors argue that by understanding how uncertainty operates, we can make palpable improvements to our health, wealth, happiness and careers.
作者簡介
Spyros Makridakis is Professor Emeritus at INSEAD, France, and a former Olympian. He is the author of Forecasting Methods for Management, which has sold over 120,000 copies worldwide.
Robin M. Hogarth is ICREA Research Professor at Universitat Pompeu Fabra, Spain. He is President of the European Association for Decision Making.
Anil Gaba is the ORPAR Chaired Professor of Risk Management and Dean of Faculty at INSEAD, Singapore, one of the world’s leading business schools.
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