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原文書 (17)

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$200~$399 (1)
$400~$599 (2)
$800以上 (14)

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2017~2018 (2)
2015~2016 (5)

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可訂購商品 (17)

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作者


Philip E. Tetlock/ Dan Gardner (3)
Philip E. Tetlock/ Philip E. Tetlock (FRW) (2)
Paul M. Sniderman (EDT)/ Joseph F. Fletcher/ Peter H. Russell/ Philip E. Tetlock (1)
Paul M. Sniderman/ Philip E. Tetlock/ Edward G. Carmines (EDT) (1)
Paul M. Sniderman/ Richard A. Brody/ Philip E. Tetlock (1)
Paul M. Sniderman/ Richard A. Brody/ Philip E. Tetlock (EDT) (1)
Peter Suedfeld/ Philip E. Tetlock (EDT) (1)
Philip E. Tetlock (1)
Philip E. Tetlock (EDT)/ Aaron Belkin (EDT) (1)
Philip E. Tetlock (EDT)/ Richard Ned Lebow (EDT)/ Geoffrey Parker (EDT) (1)
Philip E. Tetlock/ Dan Gardner/ Joel Richards (NRT) (1)
Philip E. Tetlock/ Jo L. Husbands/ Robert Jervis (CON)/ Paul C. Stern (EDT) (1)
Philip E. Tetlock/ Jo L. Husbands/ Robert Jervis/ Paul C. Stern/ Tilly (1)
Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner (1)

出版社/品牌


Princeton Univ Pr (4)
CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS (2)
Oxford Univ Pr on Demand (2)
Brilliance Audio (1)
Broadway Books (1)
Createspace Independent Pub (1)
Random House (1)
Random House Inc (1)
Stanford Univ Pr (1)
Taylor & Francis (1)
Univ of Michigan Pr (1)
Yale Univ Pr (1)

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17筆商品,1/1頁

1.Expert Political Judgment ― How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Philip E. Tetlock (FRW)  出版社:Princeton Univ Pr  出版日:2017/09/05

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert op

定價:1033元   優惠價: 9930

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2.Expert Political Judgment ― How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Philip E. Tetlock (FRW)  出版社:Princeton Univ Pr  出版日:2017/09/05

Since its original publication, Expert Political Judgment by New York Times bestselling author Philip Tetlock has established itself as a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert op

定價:4455元   優惠價: 94010

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3.Expert Political Judgment—How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

作者:Philip E. Tetlock  出版社:Princeton Univ Pr  出版日:2006/07/31

The intelligence failures surrounding the invasion of Iraq dramatically illustrate the necessity of developing standards for evaluating expert opinion. This book fills that need. Here, Philip E. Tetlo

定價:1528元   優惠價: 91375

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4.Superforecasting ― The Art and Science of Prediction

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner  出版社:Broadway Books  出版日:2016/09/13

A New York Times BestsellerAn Economist Best Book of 2015"The most important book on decision making since Daniel Kahneman's Thinking, Fast and Slow."—Jason Zweig, T

定價:420元   優惠價: 79332

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5.Superforecasting ― Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner  出版社:Createspace Independent Pub  出版日:2015/12/14

PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and NOT the original book.  Superforecasting by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review

定價:315元   優惠價: 9284

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6.Superforecasting ― The Art and Science of Prediction

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner  出版社:Random House Inc  出版日:2015/09/29

From one of the world’s most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictionsEveryone would benefit from seeing further into the future,

定價:980元   優惠價: 79774

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7.Superforecasting

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner  出版社:Random House  出版日:2015/09/29

From one of the world’s most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the f

定價:420元   優惠價: 79332

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8.Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics

作者:Philip E. Tetlock (EDT); Aaron Belkin (EDT)  出版社:Princeton Univ Pr  出版日:1996/08/19

Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bom

定價:2750元   優惠價: 92475

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9.Psychology and Social Policy

作者:Peter Suedfeld; Philip E. Tetlock (EDT)  出版社:Taylor & Francis  出版日:1992/01/01

After a chapter analyzing the kinds of issues in which psychology has taken an active role and the propriety and possible consequences of that role, contributions are grouped into three sections on in

定價:6525元   優惠價: 95873

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10.Superforecasting ― The Art and Science of Prediction: Includes PDF Disc

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Dan Gardner; Joel Richards (NRT)  出版社:Brilliance Audio  出版日:2015/10/13

From one of the world's most highly regarded social scientists, a transformative book on the habits of mind that lead to the best predictions.Everyone would benefit from seeing further into the future

定價:1050元   優惠價: 9945

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11.Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma

作者:Paul M. Sniderman; Philip E. Tetlock; Edward G. Carmines (EDT)  出版社:Stanford Univ Pr  出版日:1995/01/01

It has been half a century since the publication of An American Dilemma, Gunnar Myrdal's seminal work on race in America. This book is an attempt to contribute to a fresh understanding of this dilemma

定價:1168元   優惠價: 91051

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12.Reasoning and Choice—Explorations in Political Psychology

作者:Paul M. Sniderman; Richard A. Brody; Philip E. Tetlock  出版社:CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS  出版日:1993/09/01

Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, Reasoning and Choice offers a major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary citizens figure out wh

定價:2115元   優惠價: 91904

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13.Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology

作者:Paul M. Sniderman; Richard A. Brody; Philip E. Tetlock (EDT)  出版社:CAMBRIDGE UNIVERSITY PRESS  出版日:1991/09/01

Drawing on a multitude of data sets and building on analyses carried out over more than a decade, Reasoning and Choice offers a major new theoretical explanation of how ordinary citizens figure out w

定價:4725元   優惠價: 94253

無庫存,下單後進貨(採購期約45個工作天)

14.Unmaking the West: What-if? Scenarios That Rewrite World History

作者:Philip E. Tetlock (EDT); Richard Ned Lebow (EDT); Geoffrey Parker (EDT)  出版社:Univ of Michigan Pr  出版日:2007/01/30

What if the Persians had won at Salamis? What if Christ had not been crucified? What if the Chinese had harnessed steam power before the West? Disparaged by some as a mere parlor game, counterfactual

定價:1753元   優惠價: 91578

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15.The Clash of Rights ― Liberty, Equality, and Legitimacy in Pluralist Democracy

作者:Paul M. Sniderman (EDT); Joseph F. Fletcher; Peter H. Russell; Philip E. Tetlock  出版社:Yale Univ Pr  出版日:1996/10/01

Why do citizens in pluralist democracies disagree collectively about the very values they agree on individually? This provocative book highlights the inescapable conflicts of rights and values at the

定價:1215元   優惠價: 91094

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16.Behavior, Society and Nuclear War

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Jo L. Husbands; Robert Jervis (CON); Paul C. Stern (EDT)  出版社:Oxford Univ Pr on Demand  出版日:1990/12/13

In the last year the world has witnessed changes in East-West relations that would have been unthinkable only a short time ago. The Berlin Wall has crumbled, Eastern Europe has thrown out its authori

定價:2698元   優惠價: 92428

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17.Behavior, Society and Nuclear War

作者:Philip E. Tetlock; Jo L. Husbands; Robert Jervis; Paul C. Stern; Tilly  出版社:Oxford Univ Pr on Demand  出版日:1990/01/18

All people wish to avoid nuclear war, but this fact provides little guidance for policy. One reason is a lack of understanding of how a nuclear war might come about or how one could be prevented; muc

定價:2968元   優惠價: 92671

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