Time Series Analysis in the Social Sciences ─ The Fundamentals

Times Series Analysis in the Social Sciences is a practical and highly readable introduction written exclusively for students and researchers without a mathematical background beyond basic algebra. The book focuses on fundamental elements of time series analysis that social scientists need to understand to employ time series analysis for their research and practice. Through step-by-step explanations and using monthly violent crime rates as case studies, this book explains univariate time-series from the preliminary visual analysis through the modeling of seasonality, trends, and residuals, to the prediction and evaluation of estimated models. The book also explains smoothing, multiple time series analysis, and interrupted time series analysis. With a wealth of practical advice and supplemental data sets for students to apply their knowledge, this flexible and friendly primer is suitable for all students in the social sciences.